Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.372740 0.421618 0.476144 0.541785 0.619064 0.707644 0.817567
2024-10-27 0.293689 0.356932 0.434194 0.536778 0.671305 0.844425 1.088583
2024-11-03 0.258040 0.330523 0.425268 0.560913 0.754775 1.029391 1.462241
2024-11-10 0.229073 0.305384 0.410468 0.570161 0.814946 1.190850 1.843889
2024-11-17 0.202842 0.279000 0.388280 0.562533 0.845531 1.310922 2.191521
2024-11-24 0.180837 0.255219 0.365664 0.549078 0.862162 1.409079 2.527520
2024-12-01 0.166191 0.240247 0.353798 0.549825 0.901014 1.552381 2.994448
2024-12-08 0.156802 0.232016 0.351024 0.564523 0.966146 1.758562 3.667431
2024-12-15 0.146591 0.221255 0.342618 0.567747 1.009918 1.932423 4.336279
2024-12-22 0.134903 0.206882 0.326455 0.554398 1.018381 2.033054 4.863332
2024-12-29 0.129001 0.201478 0.324936 0.567899 1.083793 2.277831 5.901513
2025-01-05 0.122305 0.194061 0.318985 0.571811 1.129265 2.487779 6.949671
2025-01-12 0.114152 0.183594 0.306784 0.562249 1.144543 2.630777 7.881211
2025-01-19 0.107241 0.174781 0.296833 0.556134 1.167222 2.802413 9.038337
2025-01-26 0.104776 0.173718 0.301332 0.581201 1.270723 3.238082 11.591871
2025-02-02 0.100716 0.169357 0.298962 0.590839 1.337548 3.589824 14.123039
2025-02-09 0.095153 0.161737 0.289394 0.582861 1.356163 3.794545 16.143714
2025-02-16 0.089478 0.153494 0.277839 0.568800 1.355445 3.934952 17.977094
2025-02-23 0.085707 0.148640 0.272800 0.569580 1.397390 4.246233 21.245035
2025-03-02 0.083535 0.146731 0.273704 0.584940 1.486075 4.775311 26.817897
2025-03-09 0.080473 0.142832 0.270011 0.588310 1.539150 5.188768 32.303021
2025-03-16 0.076231 0.136286 0.260050 0.574359 1.534305 5.354582 35.996468
2025-03-23 0.074478 0.134668 0.260760 0.588468 1.625387 6.001825 45.943203